Whither the GOP in CA?

Carla Marinucci, the SF Chronicle’s indefatigable political reporter does a quick survey of Repub and Demo opinion on the future of California Republicans.

Conservatives have long dismissed California, the nation’s most-populous state and the world’s ninth-largest economy, as the Left Coast, Wackyville and La-La Land.

But after Tuesday’s election, there is one thing that Republicans across the nation can no longer do – ignore it.

The GOP failed to take the White House and lost an opportunity to reclaim control of the U.S. Senate, while trends that began in California – the burgeoning numbers of Latino, Asian American and young voters – are harbingers of what’s ahead for Republican fortunes, Democratic consultant Garry South said.

“They can denigrate this state all they want,” South said. “But the future of America is what you’re seeing right now, laid out in California.”

My favorite quotes were from Tony Quinn, longtime Republican consultant.  Here is the blog from which she quoted.  Interesting inside-politics assertions therein.

The good news for Republicans is that they are no longer a dying party.  The bad news is that they are dead, and the final dagger into the corpse was the huge turnout of young voters on Tuesday – the exit polls show that 18 to 29 years olds made up 28 percent of the 2012 electorate.  This turnout was vastly different than the Field poll and other analysts anticipated, and it was driven by Proposition 30.

…Two conclusions emerge: there is no state Republican Party left and its numbers in the legislature make it irrelevant, but individuals do matter.  Charles Munger, Jr. put significant dollars into some Republican on Republican legislative and congressional races, and he won.  If he remains involved, he can fund pragmatic and electable Republicans in competitive districts and in 2014 the GOP might be able to rise above one third in the Senate and the Assembly.

Second, it is time to let Howard Jarvis rest in peace and stop pretending we are still in the world of Proposition 13.  On Tuesday 85 of 106 school bond measures passed, according to the League of California Cities.  Californians clearly want more public resources; the question now is whether that money is spent wisely.  That is where the Republican and business focus should be.

For years, the anti-tax zealots have been a tail wagging the old flea bitten Republican dog.  Well, now there is no dog; only fleas.



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *